Signs That a Horse is Ready to Run a Big Race Or Bounce

When handicapping a race to find good bets, horsemuch out of it. This is particularly true of young horses
players often consider a horse's form cycle and try towho gain confidence by winning and quickly lose it by
figure out if it is ready to perform well or poorly. Whenlosing races.
a horse has a really big race and expends a lot ofSo if you are handicapping a race and looking for a
energy, it may run a poor race the next time out. Thathorse that is ready to run a big race, take the age of
is what is known as bouncing. On the other hand,the horses into consideration. The younger the horses,
looking at the races previous to today's race,in my opinion, the more likely they are to bounce. Not
handicappers try to determine if the horse has beenjust because of physical factors, but also because
improving, in other words, rounding into form. So itthey have to have the will to win and a big effort that
becomes necessary to understand when a horse willresults in a loss can be devastating to a young horse.
improve off its last effort or regress.Here are a few signs to look for when searching for
I like to see a horse who is coming back to the racesthe ready to run horse.
to have had at least two races within the last 40 days.First of all, look for a horse who has had at least two
I also like to see that its last race was better than theraces in the last forty days and one of them was
previous one. However, if I see that the second racewithin the last two weeks. Secondly, if the horse was
back required the horse to battle another runner on theinvolved in a grueling stretch drive or battled another
lead and to fully extend itself through the stretch run,horse for the lead throughout the race, beware. If, on
then I suspect that the horse may bounce and toss inthe other hand, the horse laid back off the pace and
a clinker.made a good run in the stretch, that one may be
This is precisely why trainers used to tell their jockeysready to win in one of its next two races.
to take it easy and not to try too hard in the firstAnother sign of a potential bounce horse is the highest
couple of races. They understood that while the horsespeed figure horse. If the horse achieved its highest
was keen to win, it didn't have the physical conditioningspeed figure in its last race and didn't have an easy,
to sustain a drive without injuring itself or taking toouncontested lead, it may well bounce.